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May 29, 2008

TN-1: Predictions and hopes

Randy Neal, Joe Powell, and A.C. Kleinheider each take a look at the most consistently Republican congressional district in the state and how the November election is shaping up. (Political history buffs: is there a more consistently Republican district anywhere?)

The first two, both liberal bloggers, see a glimmer of hope that a Democratic candidate could pick off a weakened GOP primary winner (likely to be incumbent U.S. Rep. David Davis, though Phil Roe has plenty of money and supporters on his side).

I tend to see it more Kleinheider's way, but I am open to discussion. I am particularly interested in some additional East Tennessee opinions.

UPDATE: DeMarCaTionVille has a solid post on the lay of the land.

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US House Elections | By joe lance | 07:53 PM

Comments

As I said in my opening paragraph, the seat is likely safe for Republicans, but just not necessarily for Davis.

The Democrat's slim hope here is that Davis and Roe beat each other up and expend all their ammo in the primary.

Rob Russell seems like a great guy and a credible candidate, but the TN Dems may have missed an opporunity here by not running a higher profile candidate. They ought to at least get behind Russell.

But who knows? People are fed up, and stranger things have happened.

Posted by: R. Neal at May 29, 2008 08:07 PM

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