December 31, 2007
Obama's lead in latest Iowa poll explained
Via Political Wire:
"Obama's rise is the result in part of a dramatic influx of first-time caucusgoers, including a sizable bloc of political independents. Both groups prefer the Illinois senator[…]"
I wonder if Mike Huckabee's lead is due to the same factors. (Not really.) I also wonder whether or not these ostensibly younger, seemingly independent-minded voters will play a major part as the primaries roll through the states.
And if they aren't able to prevail in the Democratic contest (meaning, Senator Clinton wins it), will they then jump ship for a third ticket?
"Of those who have decided on a candidate, 34 percent of the Democrats say they could still be persuaded to change their minds. Among Republicans, it's 46 percent."
-- David Yepsen, Ibid.
Ambinder: In any event, the poll suggests that independents are asserting themselves in a way that's confounding the pollsters and the establishment.
Presidential Elections | By joe lance | 11:52 PM