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July 05, 2006

Hamilton County Election Predictions

Not from me, though -- at least, not yet. I'm still in the analysis phase on so many fronts.

However, The East Lake Voice has articulated its vision for a September swearing-in. The county's executive position, its board of commissioners, and the five school board seats that are up this year are forecast, and quite well at that, though I believe that John Bailes can pull off an upset in District 8.

I mean, if for no other reason, since Dr. Jesse Register is staying on a year in a consultant position, don't you want to see Curtis Adams leave the County Commission? Regardless of how you feel about the positions outlined by each man, surely you sense that one of them has to go; and Register will be around; and voters have an opportunity to replace Adams in a few weeks. It is a simple choice, really.

That said, there are plenty of positives for John Bailes. He brings a dedication to openness (remember Adams' secret lunch meetings), to equality (you won't hear John saying that a woman's place is in the kitchen instead of in politics), and to incubating small businesses. I could go on, but I think Bailes' stance on issues is well outlined on his website (click on "Know Where I Stand").

This next Board of Education could be interesting, if ELV's prediction holds. I only know to judge by his letters in the Chattanoogan, but Tim Price makes Rhonda Thurman sound downright moderate. Pit those two against Debra Matthews and, for that matter, Chip Baker, and it's a lively scene.

Check out the predictions. Hopefully there will be more. (I'm interested in hearing some takes on the two contested Sessions Judge races in particular.) Soon enough, I'll be making my own picks. As with the county primaries, the plan is to list both a prediction and a preference, where they might differ.

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Hamilton County Elections | By joe lance | 09:34 PM